Grant Guidelines - Fine-scale climate projections for Tasmania

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Program overview

Purpose

To deliver a new set of fine-scale climate projections for Tasmania and associated interpretive communications materials that will provide information to a range of users about the future climate of Tasmania.

Objectives

The objectives of the program are:

  • Production of fine‑scale resolution climate projections data for Tasmania, in line with the specifications in this guideline (Appendix 1: Technical specifications).
  • Communication of the projected climate impacts for Tasmania through a range of tailored interpretive and communication tools designed to enable non-expert   stakeholders to understand and apply the new climate projections.

Outcome

Expected outcomes of this program:

  • Enhanced understanding of projected climate change impacts for Tasmania in the short‑, medium‑ and long‑term, through continuous data through to the year 2100, across a range of variables and future climate scenarios.
  • Improved accessibility of climate projections data through interpretive materials and communication tools tailored to the needs of Tasmanian stakeholders.

Application opening date

8 April 2025 2:00 pm

Application closing date

3 June 2025 2:00 pm

Notification of assessment outcomes

July 2025

Administered by

Climate Change Office in Renewables, Climate and Future Industries Tasmania (ReCFIT), Department of State Growth

Contact details

Email: climatechange@recfit.tas.gov.au

Phone: 03 6166 4466

Total funding available

$1,800,000

Grant amount

Up to $1,800,000

Co-contribution

Optional

Grant type

Open competitive grant process

The Tasmanian Government is committed to taking practical climate action and providing the Tasmanian community with accurate and scientifically robust information to increase the resilience of Tasmanian communities to the changing climate.

To continue to provide accurate, up-to-date and relevant data to a range of stakeholders, the Tasmanian Government is seeking to produce new fine‑scale resolution climate projections for Tasmania.

This grant program will support Tasmanians to better understand Tasmania’s future climate and make informed decisions through the delivery of new fine-scale climate projections data, based on the latest global climate models, and a series of associated interpretive materials.

This program is administered by the Climate Change Office in Renewables, Climate and Future Industries Tasmania (ReCFIT), Department of State Growth, on behalf of the Crown in Right of Tasmania.

1.1. Objectives

The objectives of the program are:

  • Production of comprehensive fine‑scale resolution climate projections data for Tasmania, in line with the specifications in these guidelines.
  • Communication of the projected climate impacts for Tasmania through a range of tailored interpretive materials and communication tools designed to enable non-expert stakeholders to understand and apply the new climate projections.

1.2. Outcomes

Expected outcomes of this program:

  • Enhanced understanding of projected climate change impacts for Tasmania in the short‑, medium‑ and long‑term, through continuous data through to the year 2100, across a range of variables and future climate scenarios.
  • Improved accessibility and increased use of climate projections data through interpretive materials and communication tools tailored to the needs of Tasmanian stakeholders.

The Tasmanian Government has allocated $1,800,000 to support development of new fine-scale climate projections data and interpretive materials.

This is a competitive grant program. Applications will be competitively assessed using the assessment criteria and funded based on a comparative rating scale.

To be eligible for a grant your entity must:

  • Be registered for tax purposes in Australia, with a continuously active Australian Business Number (ABN) on or before 8 April 2024.

Exceptions may be considered, for example:

  • you have purchased a business that was actively trading for at least 12 months before 8 April 2024.
  • you have changed your business structure which has resulted in a new active ABN issued after 8April 2024, but the business has been in operation for at least 12 months at the time of applying for the grant.

Note: you will be required to show relevant evidence to support your application.

  • Be registered for GST.
  • Be able to provide your most recent financial statements.
  • Be willing, and legally and technically able, to offer the data and interpretive materials funded through this grant freely to the public in perpetuity. The applicant will retain all intellectual property rights and interests.
  • Supply readable copies of all information and documentation requested in the grant application form.

We may ask you to provide additional information or documentation to support your eligibility claims, either as part of the application process or after you have submitted your application.

We may use a third-party to check the authenticity of the information you provide.

Regardless of whether you meet the other eligibility criteria, you will NOT be eligible for a grant if you are:

  • an individual or sole trader
  • a local government or Tasmanian Government entity
  • an entity whose primary purpose is political activity
  • an otherwise eligible entity that has overdue obligations, or is engaged in a dispute, with an existing grant with the Department of State Growth
  • an otherwise eligible entity that is subject to any legal disability, including bankruptcy or liquidation, including pending proceedings.

We will not assess applications from ineligible applicants.

If you have any questions about who can apply or the eligibility criteria, please contact the Climate Change Office by email: climatechange@recfit.tas.gov.au or phone: 03 6166 4466.

We encourage applicants to work in partnership with others to deliver on the objectives of this grant program. Applications that can demonstrate sound expertise both in climate modelling capability, and in the communication and delivery of complex information to non-technical audiences, particularly climate science information, will perform strongly against the assessment criteria (see Section 8).

For example, a climate modelling group may arrange to work with a science communication expert to deliver the project.

Partners are not required to meet the eligibility criteria provided the lead entity is an eligible applicant.

If your project design includes a partnership, your application will need to include details of how the partnership will work, including:

  • identification of the roles and responsibilities of each entity in the partnership
  • how you (the lead entity) will engage with your partners to successfully facilitate the project, and
  • a letter of support from each partner detailing the partner’s contribution to the project, including any financial, resourcing, expertise, or in-kind support.

As the grant applicant and lead entity, you will hold full responsibility for the project, including any insurance, legal, financial, and liability associated with delivering the project in accordance with the grant agreement.

We recognise the crucial role of future climate information in decision making by community, industry and governments. This program aims to develop a comprehensive set of high-resolution climate projections data and associated materials for Tasmania for use across a wide range of applications.

This guideline sets out the minimum and desirable requirements for you to consider and address in your application.

1.1. Project details

It is expected that applicants will submit documents with their application that describe:

  • a project methodology that will produce a set of projections data outputs and interpretive materials that meets the grant objectives and addresses the essential requirements set out in Appendix 1 of this guideline.
  • robust plans for how the identified specification and set of outputs will be delivered, including within the preferred delivery timeframe, namely:
    • commencement of the project on or before 31 July 2025.
    • completion of the project on or before 20 December 2026, or as soon as possible thereafter, noting that applications that show effective use of time will perform strongly against the assessment criteria (see Section 8).
  • a project budget that shows the expected expenses for each stage of the project, and total expenses that are equal to or higher than the total funding amount requested.
  • a project team with the skills and experience to execute the plan and deliver the specified outputs within the timeframe and budget.

1.2. Detailed specifications

The climate projections funded through this grant are to be developed using global climate model data produced as part of the sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6).

Full technical specifications are detailed in Appendix 1. These specifications are informed by analysis of the needs of a range of stakeholders identified by the Climate Change Office, in collaboration with the University of Tasmania.

We encourage you to use the provided specification as a starting point for the project methodology you present in your application. We recognise the complexity of climate modelling and depth of technical understanding suitably qualified applicants will hold.

To assist with comparable assessment of applications, it is expected that your application will identify where your proposed specification differs from the technical specification. Unless clearly highlighted in this manner, it will be assumed that you will deliver your project in line with the technical specification.

Your application should also identify the interpretive materials that you will produce, guided by the interpretive materials specification also included in Appendix 1.

This program will not fund projects that:

  • have already commenced, been publicly announced, or been completed
  • are already being supported through another Tasmanian Government funding source
  • do not explicitly agree to, and include a mechanism for, the project outputs to be freely and publicly accessible in perpetuity to the public
  • are designed to pass on the entirety of the grant funding to third parties
  • request a funding amount that includes any of the following ineligible expenses:
    • purchase of any assets that will not be owned and/or controlled by the applicant or the grantor
    • costs not directly related to the project, including marketing, advertising, or promotional costs above what is requested in this program guideline; organisation operating costs; insurance, staff training; maintenance and travel costs
    • gifts or sponsorship
    • costs related to preparing the grant application and any project variation requests
    • purchase of uniforms
    • lease or purchase of land or buildings
    • debt financing and financing costs, including interest.

Your application must demonstrate that you are an eligible applicant (see Section 3).

Applications that meet the eligibility requirements will then be assessed competitively, based on the evidence you provide in the application, against the following four assessment criteria.

CriterionDescriptionWeighting
Project methodology

The application demonstrates how the proposed project will meet the objectives and technical specifications of this grant. The application may include documents that detail:

  1. the methodology to be used to achieve the objectives of the program
  2. the technical specifications for the fine-scale resolution projections data, including:
    1. the proposed data methods and specifications to be applied, including data production and bias correction methods, global and regional climate models to be used, spatial scale/resolution, time periods, intervals, and variables, and how these relate to the specification detailed in Appendix 1
    2. the proposed data points and variable specifications to be produced
    3. description of where the specification is compliant or otherwise with any specified or industry‑mandated modelling conventions
    4. intentions for the computing, storage and management of the data outputs.
  3. details of the types of interpretive materials that will be produced and the process for developing them
  4. the plan and delivery approach to progress the project, including:
    1. a detailed timeline for progressing the project that shows an efficient use of time
    2. the key stakeholder groups and how the proposed data and interpretive materials will meet the needs of these groups
    3. key sectors and how the choice of variables is suited to the needs of those sectors
    4. description of any stakeholder engagement you expect to undertake in delivering the project in line with the objectives, including with any specific user groups. Applicants are encouraged to engage with the Tasmanian Aboriginal community to understand their needs to inform the project.
  5. other evidence that demonstrates that your project meets the objectives and specifications, and is well‑thought‑out, realistic and achievable
30%
Capacity and capability

The application demonstrates that the applicant and partners (if any) have the skills and experience to plan, manage, and successfully deliver the proposed project. The application may include:

  1. evidence of robust project planning that shows a realistic and achievable pathway to delivering the project within the stated timeframe and budget, including adequate consideration of the risks associated with the project. This evidence could be in the form of a project plan
  2. detailed timelines that define the expected order and delivery timeframes for project outputs, including estimated timing for availability of raw and refined data outputs, and various interpretive materials
  3. details of the expertise of the proposed project team, their roles in relation to delivery of the project, CVs for project team members, and advice on how project staff attrition would be managed
  4. details of how the project will be governed, including intended structures for oversight, decision making, and engagement with the grantor
  5. examples that demonstrate the successful delivery of similar projects by members of the project team, such as projects that involved:
    1. delivery of fine‑scale climate projections and climate modelling work, or use of technical expertise in relation to downscaling climate projections data
    2. production of science communication and interpretive materials, including tailored outputs to meet the needs of a diverse range of user groups, and non-expert users
    3. production of similar communication platforms and materials that may include written reports, interactive geospatial viewers, short video productions, infographics and specialist reports
    4. other similar projects of a long-term and complex nature
  6. other similar evidence.
25%
Meeting user needs

The application demonstrates that the proposed project will meet the identified needs and expectations of Tasmanian stakeholders. This could be demonstrated through:

  1. details of how the proposed project methodology will meet known user needs, including where your proposed project specification has been tailored to address a specific need
  2. details of how stakeholder needs will be addressed by the interpretive materials that will be produced as part of the project
  3. details of any best practice climate modelling or innovative science communication methods you intend to apply
  4. details of how you will ensure the outputs are useful to the Tasmanian Government and broader community
  5. details of where information will be hosted/presented and how it will be made freely and publicly available in perpetuity for the general public
  6. other similar evidence.
25%
Appropriate use of grant funds

The application demonstrates that the project will use the grant funds appropriately and deliver value for money for Tasmanians. This could be evidenced through:

  1. a sufficiently detailed budget that enables transparency and accountability for the use of public funds and reflects:
    1. the funding amount requested is equal to, or less than the total of eligible project expenses (see Section 7 for what will not be funded)
    2. a breakdown of the expenses associated with delivering each stage of the project
    3. details of any co-contributions by the applicant and a project partner
    4. where applicable, estimates or quotes for planned commercially contracted services.
  2. details of any broader benefits the project will provide to the Tasmanian community, outside of the project outputs
  3. information on how you will support the materials produced being freely and publicly available to the Tasmanian public in perpetuity
  4. details of where, and how, the data and interpretive materials will be maintained, stored and updated over time
  5. information on how the project connects with other relevant programs of work in Tasmania or Australia.
20%

An Assessment Panel will be established comprising individuals with relevant knowledge and experience to assess a complex grant of this nature.

Applications will be assessed based on the extent to which they meet the eligibility and assessment criteria detailed in these program guidelines, compared to other applications received.

During the assessment process the department may, at its discretion, ask you for more information to clarify your application. This information must be provided within three working days, unless otherwise advised. Failure to provide further requested information within the timeframe may result in the application being unsuccessful.

Description

Date/time

Program opens for applications

8 April 2025 at 2:00 pm

Program closes

3 June 2025 at 2:00 pm

Applications assessed

June 2025

Applicants notified (estimated date)

July 2025

Applications will not be accepted after the program closes.

For queries about this program, contact the Climate Change Office by email at climatechange@recfit.tas.gov.au or by phone: 03 6166 4466.

Applications should be submitted using SmartyGrants.

For assistance with using SmartyGrants, please see the applicant help guide.

Contact us to discuss any issue preventing you from using SmartyGrants to submit your application.

  1. Prepare: Read the program guidelines and any frequently asked questions (FAQs) before starting your application. The application form is designed to help structure your responses to the eligibility and assessment criteria.
  2. Be informed: A briefing will be provided to all applicants at the opening of the application period. To register to attend the briefing, and for more information, please email climatechange@recfit.tas.gov.au.
  3. Start: The application form is available at stategrowthtas.smartygrants.com.au/FSCPT
  4. Confirm: Ensure all information and documentation is accurate and attached. You may not be able to change an application or provide additional information after you submit your application.
  5. Submit: You will receive an email notification after you submit your application. This receipt will include details of the application and a unique application ID. Keep this notification as confirmation of your submission.
  6. Assessment: Applications will be assessed by a panel as outlined in the Assessment process.
  7. Notification: We will notify you of the outcome of your application.

You may be asked to provide information or documentation after you have submitted your application.

You must provide this information within three working days, unless otherwise advised. Failure to provide the information within the timeframe may result in the application being unsuccessful.

The information you provide may be subject to third party authenticity checks.

If your application is successful, you will be required to enter a legally binding funding agreement.

The form and terms and conditions of the agreement will be determined by the department and, together with the application form and the program guidelines, will form the funding agreement.

The agreement will specify any reporting requirements and conditions for acknowledging this grant program as a funding source.

You will not receive payment until the funding agreement is completed.

If your application is unsuccessful, you may appeal the decision.

The appeals process ensures that all applicants have been treated fairly.

We will consider appeals that relate to administrative process issues in grants management.

All appeal requests must be in writing and addressed to the Director Climate Change. Your request must be received within 28 days from the date of State Growth notifying you of the decision about your application.

For further information about the appeal process, contact climatechange@recfit.tas.gov.au

If your application is successful, you will be asked to supply the details of a dedicated bank account for your entity to receive and manage your grant funding.

The bank account must be in the same name as the entity that applied for the grant. You may be asked to provide a copy of your bank statement or a letter from your bank as confirmation.

Providing incorrect bank account details may result in significant delays or not receiving your grant payment. We cannot guarantee the recovery of funds paid to an incorrect bank account.

15.1. Payment milestones

Funds will be approved for drawdown from this account when the grant payment milestones specified in the grant agreement are met to the satisfaction of the grantor. These milestones are:

Milestone

Milestone details

Payment

1

Delivery of a project plan that meets the requirements specified in the grant agreement to the satisfaction of the grantor.

30%

2

Provision of raw or bias corrected data files of fine-scale (1-4 kilometre) climate projections that can be released to select users, to the satisfaction of the grantor.

30%

3

Completion of interpretive materials and communications materials to the satisfaction of the grantor.

40%

After successful completion of each milestone, the grant funds will be able to be drawn down from the grant account by the recipient.

15.2. Return of funds

You will be required to return some or all of the funds if:

  • you do not complete the activities required under the funding agreement
  • you do not use any or all of the funding provided
  • your situation changes in a way that prevents completion of the grant, or
  • we find that the information provided to us is false or misleading.

The successful applicants will be required to share data and information from the project with the department. Data and information sharing with nominated third parties may also be required. The terms of the information and data sharing will be agreed in the grant funding agreement.

Grants distributed under this program may be treated as income by the Australian Taxation Office (ATO).

We strongly recommend that, prior to applying, you seek independent advice from a tax advisor, financial advisor or the ATO, about the possible tax implications of receiving the grant.

Grants distributed under this program attract Goods and Services Tax (GST).

If you are registered for GST, the grant amount will be grossed up to include GST. The successful applicant must supply a valid tax invoice to State Growth.

Information on invoices can be found on our Business Tasmania website: www.business.tas.gov.au/manage_a_business/invoices

If your application is successful, you will be required to report on the status of your project every six months, as detailed in your funding agreement.

You will also need to provide an acquittal at the conclusion of your project. An acquittal is a statement that confirms the grant was completed as per the funding agreement.

18.1. How to acquit your grant

We will send you an acquittal form using SmartyGrants.

Your acquittal must provide evidence of the outcomes of the grant and how the funds were spent. This must include a written report and associated attachments including:

  • details of the projections data produced
  • details of the location of data and communication materials, to be freely available to the Tasmanian public in perpetuity
  • copies of any interpretive materials including but not limited to: written documents produced, video files, or other communications materials included as a part of the interpretive materials
  • copies of invoices and receipts
  • an account of the total income and expenditure for the project.

18.2. Failure to complete an acquittal

If you do not satisfactorily acquit your grant by the due date:

  • you may be required to return the funding to State Growth, and
  • you may be ineligible for other grants from State Growth.

Contact us to discuss any issue preventing you from acquitting your grant.

State Growth is accountable for its spending of public funds, including providing grants. As part of the accountability process, State Growth may publicise, without further notice, information about the grants provided, including the level of financial assistance, the identity of the recipient, and the purpose of the financial assistance.

If you have received a grant from State Growth:

  • despite any confidentiality or intellectual property right subsisting in the grant funding agreement or deed, a party may publish all or any part of the grant funding agreement or deed without reference to another party, and you consent to the disclosure of your name in this context
  • all obligations under the Personal Information Protection Act 2004 (Tas) still apply.

You must take care to provide true and accurate information. Any information that is found to be false or misleading may result in action being taken and grant funds, if already provided, may be required to be repaid to State Growth.

Information provided to State Growth may be subject to disclosure in accordance with the Right to Information Act 2009.

Personal information will be managed in accordance with the Personal Information Protection Act 2004. This information may be accessed by the individual to whom it relates, on request to State Growth.

State Growth may use and disclose the information you provide for the purposes of discharging its functions under the program guidelines and otherwise for the purposes of the program and related uses. State Growth may also use information received in applications and during the delivery of the project for reporting purposes.

Although care has been taken in the preparation of this document, no warranty, express or implied, is given by the Crown in Right of Tasmania, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information it contains.

The Crown in Right of Tasmania accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage that may arise from anything contained in or omitted from or that may arise from the use of this document, and any person relying on this document and the information it contains does so at their own risk absolutely.

The Crown in Right of Tasmania does not accept liability or responsibility for any loss incurred by an applicant that are in any way related to the program.

Appendix 1: Detailed specifications

It is expected that the successful applicant will deliver data and information that meets the following specifications at a minimum. Your proposed data specification should be detailed at length in your application, including addressing any specific details referenced in the notes in this Appendix. Your application should particularly highlight any diversions from the specified minimum requirements, referencing the attribute identifiers where relevant.

Attribute identifier

Description

Minimum requirements (including value-add options where noted)

Notes

A1

Coverage

The data should cover the entirety of terrestrial Tasmania including the Bass Strait islands and immediately surrounding oceans.

Details of coverage are to be included in the application, including the extent of coverage of surrounding oceans.

A2

Downscaling method

The data should be downscaled using primarily dynamical downscaling methods.

Dynamical downscaling should be the primary downscaling method to be used to derive the fine‑scale data. Applications involving only statistical downscaling will not be funded.

A3

Ensemble composition

The data should be produced from a minimum of five CMIP6 global climate models outputs, or regional climate model outputs developed from same.

It is expected that the data will be sourced from an appropriately diverse set of CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs). Selection should be informed by research available through the National Partnership for Climate Projections (NPCP), and Tasmania’s topography and climate characteristics.

The choice of GCMs should complement, where possible, the existing NPCP national ensemble and the planned Australian Climate Service national convection-permitting ensemble.

Justification for selection of models, ensemble composition and any external baseline data, should be provided in the grant application.

Models identified as plausible candidates include, but are not limited to: ACCESS‑CM2, ACCESS‑ESM1.5, NCAR‑CESM2, CMCC-ESM2, CNRM‑CM6-1-HR, EC-Earth3, NorESM2‑MM.

Applicants are encouraged to consider partnerships with other climate modelling entities that have published existing high resolution (10-20 kilometre scale) CMIP6‑based datasets that cover Tasmania, for use as the input for the fine-scale data to be produced under this program. Such data may be available from organisations that are part of the NPCP, and is generally accessible through National Computational Infrastructure (NCI) Australia. The applicant will be responsible for sourcing and managing access to all data inputs and outputs.

A4

Storage of data

The data outputs are to be placed on an appropriate server repository for use and ease of access for Tasmanian data users.

Option:

Use NCI Thredds server for open data access.

The applicant will be responsible for managing access to and storage of all data inputs and outputs.

A5

CORDEX compliant

The data should be compliant with CORDEX specifications where they are relevant.

Any divergence from CORDEX specifications relevant to the production of data of this nature are to be justified in your application.

A6

NPCP-aligned

The data should be compliant with principles of the National Partnership for Climate Projections.

Any divergence from the principles of, or agreed parameters published by, the NPCP are to be justified in your application.

A7

Compatible with Tasmania’s spatial web services

All digital spatial products are to be made available in a form appropriate for uploading to ESRI‑based technology (primarily ArcGIS Enterprise (such as ArcGIS Server)) and associated storage systems (such as an enterprise geodatabase) for delivery via spatial web services such as Tasmania’s LISTMap data portal.

Further details can be provided if required.

A8

Historical data use

The data production process should cover a historical data period that meets CORDEX requirements at minimum.

Option:

Use of ERA5 reanalysis for the historical period.

Justification for the historical data timeline to be used, and the methods used to evaluate the model outputs, should be provided in your application.

A9

Ocean data

Option:

Incorporate oceans data modelling

Consider the value of, and incorporate where possible, oceans data modelling using the Regional Ocean Modelling System (ROMS), or similar, to inform improved marine and coastal projections for Tasmania.

A10

Spatial scale/ Resolution

The data, or relevant parts thereof, should be refined to a scale/resolution that is convection permitting (4 kilometres at minimum).

A scale that is convection permitting will appropriately account for Tasmania’s mountainous topography.

Your application should provide details of the scale you expect to deliver, including justification of any areas where it is proposed that the data be of a resolution greater than 4 kilometres.

A11

Time parameters

The data should be continuous and extend to the year 2100 at minimum

Projects that only provide for time-slices of data will not be considered to have adequately met the objectives of the grant.

Summary data in the interpretive materials should include specific data on time periods centred on at least three time periods (negotiable).

A12

Frequency

All data should be at a frequency of daily at minimum, or sub-daily where possible and specified by CORDEX requirements

Applications that propose to provide sub‑daily data that better meets stakeholder needs will perform well against the assessment criteria.

A13

Scenarios

The data should incorporate at minimum three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) from the IPCC’s sixth Assessment Report - a low, medium and high scenario.

The selection of three scenarios should be guided by the National Partnership for Climate Projections and include consideration of the likely applications by Tasmanian stakeholders.

Justification for proposed SSPs should be provided in the application.

A list of priority and desirable data points and related variables to be produced under this grant is below. At a minimum, the data produced should meet the minimum CORDEX requirements to ensure the data set is CORDEX compliant.

It is expected that applicants will also include a range of other desirable variables and indices in their methodology, including some or all of those listed below.

A list of inclusions is to be provided in your application, with the relevant identifier (for example PV1.2) provided where relevant.

Data point

Identifier and Variable

Temperature

Priority variables:

PV1.1 Mean daily near surface air temperature (CORDEX)

PV1.2 Daily minimum near surface air temperature (CORDEX)

PV1.3 Daily maximum near surface air temperature (CORDEX)

PV1.4 Near future mean temperature change

PV1.5 Medium‑term future mean temperature change

PV1.6 End‑of‑century mean temperature change

PV1.7 Heatwave frequency

PV1.8 Heatwave duration

PV1.9 Sea surface temperature

PV1.10 Surface downswelling longwave radiation (CORDEX)

PV1.11 Surface downswelling shortwave radiation (CORDEX)

Desirable

DV1.10 Heatwave peak heat index

DV1.11 Heatwave season length

DV1.12 Change in number of hot days (99th percentile)

DV1.13 Change in number of very hot days (99.9th percentile)

DV1.14 Change in number of cold nights under 2 degrees Celsius

DV1.15 Change in number of hot nights

DV1.16 Seasonal temperature

DV1.17 Statewide mean temperature

Wind

Priority variables

PV2.1 Near surface wind speed (CORDEX)

PV 2.2 Eastward near surface wind speed (CORDEX)

PV 2.3 Northward near surface wind speed (CORDEX)

Desirable

DV2.4 Wind direction

DV2.5 Mean 10m wind speed

DV2.6 Annual mean wind cycle

DV2.7 Changes to wind speed

DV2.8 Severe wind hazard

DV2.9 Thunderstorm gust hazard

Precipitation

Priority variables

PV3.1 Precipitation rate (kg m-2 s-1) (CORDEX)

PV3.2 Baseline standardised precipitation index (SPI)

PV3.3 Medium‑term future SPI

PV3.4 Baseline end‑of‑century SPI change

PV3.5 Baseline to medium‑term future SPI change

PV3.6 Near future annual rainfall change

PV3.7 Medium‑term future annual rainfall change

PV3.8 End of century annual rainfall change

Desirable

DV3.9 Annual rainfall

DV3.10 Seasonal rainfall

DV3.11 District rainfall

DV3.12 Average recurrence interval for rainfall events

DV3.13 Changes in maximum daily rainfall

DV3.14 Number of days exceeding 10mm of rainfall

DV3.15 Days exceeding 95th percentile of rain

DV3.16 Duration and extent of snow cover

DV3.17 Maximum snow depths

DV3.18 Maximum 1-day precipitation

DV3.19 Maximum 5-day precipitation

DV3.20 Extremely wet day precipitation

DV3.21 Simple daily intensity

DV3.22 Consecutive wet days

DV3.23 Consecutive dry days

Sea level

Priority variables

PV4.1 Projected sea level rise

Bushfires

Priority variables

PV5.1 Forest Fire Danger Index

PV5.2 Change in extreme fire danger days

PV5.3 Change in high fire danger days

PV5.4 Extreme fire risk days

PV5.5 Very high fire risk days

PV5.6 High fire risk days

PV5.7 Moderate fire risk days

PV5.8 Low fire risk days

PV5.9  95th percentile fire risk days

PV5.10  99.7th percentile fire risk days

Drying/Frost

Priority variables

PV6.1 Near surface Relative humidity (CORDEX)

PV6.2 Near surface specific humidity (CORDEX)

PV6.3 Evaporation (CORDEX)

PV6.4 Baseline mean frost risk (less than 2 degrees Celsius)

PV6.5 End‑of‑century mean frost risk

PV6.6 End‑of‑century pan evaporation change

PV6.7 End‑of‑century relative humidity change

PV6.8 Medium‑term future mean frost risk

PV6.9 Medium‑term future pan evaporation change

PV6.10 Medium‑term future relative humidity change

PV6.11 Near‑future mean frost risk

PV6.12 Near‑future pan evaporation change

PV6.13 Near‑future relative humidity change

Desirable

DV6.14 Pan evaporation

DV6.15 Frost incidence

DV6.16 FAO Reference Evapotranspiration

DV6.17 Duration of droughts

DV6.18 Frequency of droughts

DV6.19 Percent time in droughts

Storms

Priority variables

PV7.1 Surface air pressure (CORDEX)

PV7.2 Sea level pressure (CORDEX)

PV7.3 Total cloud fraction (CORDEX)

Desirable

DV7.6 Storm surge

DV7.7 Changes to thunderstorm hazard

The successful applicant is expected to produce a range of high-quality interpretive materials to support communication of the technical data.

A list of essential and desirable interpretive material outputs is provided below. We encourage you to consider the likely needs of Tasmanian stakeholders, and similar resources offered for similar purposes, particularly by other jurisdictions in Australia, to inform the inclusions you propose within your methodology.

A list of materials to be developed through your project is to be provided in your application. Please reference the interpretive material identifier where relevant.

Interpretive Material Identifier

Material

Specifications

IM1

Interactive geospatial viewer or maps

(Essential)

Viewer will have (at minimum) capacity for:

  • Multiple variable layers (to   be agreed with grantor)
  • Time ‘slider’
  • Options for, at minimum, a   high and low scenario
  • Options for delineation by   local government area or region (for example, south, north and northwest)
  • Seasonal/annual display

IM2

GIS or similar layers that integrate with Tasmanian Government’s spatial data systems including LISTmap or equivalent

(Essential)

File types needed (to be confirmed late 2025) will likely need to be compatible with ESRI‑based technology (primarily ArcGIS Enterprise (for example ArcGIS Server) and associated storage systems (for example an enterprise geodatabase).

This may include:

  • Raster files
  • GIS or ARCGIS shape files

IM3

Project reports

(Essential)

  • Technical report on project   methodology
  • Summary report on project and   key findings

IM4

Special reports for relevant indices and sectors/systems

(Essential, final topics to be agreed with grantor)

This could include:

  • Heat and bushfires
  • Extreme events (including   frequency and intensity)
  • Severe wind hazard and risk
  • Sea level rise and coastal   impacts
  • The marine and coastal   environment
  • The agricultural sector   (including drought)
  • Health and climate in   Tasmania
  • Heatwaves and vulnerable   communities
  • Critical infrastructure
  • Water and hydrology
  • Ecosystems and species
  • Climate trends over time and   by region

IM5

Infographics

(Highly desirable)

These could include:

  • Key climate changes for the medium-   and long‑term for Tasmania
  • Easily understood graphic   representations of the changes in extreme events and natural hazards
  • An overview of how the data   was produced, including the process and the inputs
  • An overview of the products   available to support end users
  • An overview of how   downscaling information is produced
  • Information on weather versus   climate
  • Climate change impacts on the   earth system
  • The greenhouse effect

IM6

Short video explainers

(Highly desirable)

For example:

  • Information on what climate   projections are and how to use them
  • Information on drivers and   weather systems that influence Tasmania
  • Information on the key   details about the future climate in Tasmania
  • Information on how to   consider climate risks in decision making
  • Information about Shared Socioeconomic   Pathways

IM7

Maps and figures

These could include:

  • Information on the Shared   Socioeconomic Pathways
  • Connection between global   warming levels and SSPs
  • Information on recent extreme   events
  • Maps showing changes in   temperature
  • Maps showing changes in   rainfall
  • Climate ‘stripes’   representation

IM8

Tables and graphs

These could include:

  • Tables or graphs of key   climate information for key population centres that provide detail on key   variables
  • Graphs relating to   temperature and rainfall
  • Graphs and plots relating to   evaporation
  • Graphs and plots relating to   extreme events and natural hazards
  • Graphs showing observed   temperature compared to projected change
  • Graphs showing observed   rainfall changes compared to projected change
  • Graphs showing changes in   mean seasonal rainfall
  • Graphs showing changes in   mean seasonal temperature

IM9

Summary reports for specific sectors or user groups

(Highly desirable)

These could include:

  • Regional snapshots
  • Climate projection   information for children and young people
  • Climate projection   information for farmers
  • Climate projection   information for asset managers
  • Climate change impacts on the   health of elderly and vulnerable populations
  • High‑level summaries for   policy makers

IM10

Decision support tools

These could include:

  • Process maps/diagrams to step   users through a series of questions to make decisions about the use of data
  • Explainers that provide   information on the nuances of using climate projections and the choices   available

IM11

Fact Sheets

For example:

  • Information about changes to   rainfall patterns
  • Information about changes to temperatures
  • Information about extreme   event attribution
  • Information about extreme   events
  • Information about bushfire   hazards
  • Flood specific information   (including common flood planning terms and measures)

IM12

Case studies

(Highly desirable)

These could include examples of how the data could be used and applied to make decisions including in:

  • Asset design and management
  • Agriculture and aquaculture
  • Transport
  • Supply chains
  • Preventative health
  • Environmental science and   conservation

All materials produced will be subject to accessibility requirements under the Disability Discrimination Act 1992 and compliance with the Tasmanian Government requirements for accessible and inclusive communications (refer to www.tas.gov.au/communications/accessibility-and-inclusivity).